0x17d573f3d3c8a5cf5de8a7cd7e898435ad4e482e
0x17d573f3d3c8a5cf5de8a7cd7e898435ad4e482e
- Realised P&L
- $71.87
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $267.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.90at 0.082Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
- +$26.63at 0.278Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
- +$9.17at 0.283US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$5.28at 0.624Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?
- +$4.88at 0.339Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 22:35 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 21:36 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.90 |
| 10-22 18:30 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 12:11 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 11:00 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1174168293 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 10:55 | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1079999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 23:48 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 18:45 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 12:02 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 12:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 11:55 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 11:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 09:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.98 |
| 10-19 09:54 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 09:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |