ykfbsafsgsy
0x17953c6f26445f132eb084c9e7942b93dbc4f815
- Realised P&L
- $125.19
- Volume
- $19.2k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $884.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.995 | $296.36 | +$5.51 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.984 | 0.994 | $210.62 | +$2.01 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $30? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.996 | $199.10 | +$1.10 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.992 | 0.996 | $178.19 | +$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.01at 0.930US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$9.82at 0.982SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
- +$7.70at 0.991Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?
- +$7.33at 0.947Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
- +$5.60at 0.943Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 04:26 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $30? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-07 06:52 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-05 03:04 | Will Solana reach $160 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $189.81 |
| 09-05 03:04 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 09-04 05:06 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $208.61 |
| 09-02 05:48 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-02 05:48 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $124.75 |
| 09-01 08:14 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $177.57 |
| 08-22 08:16 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $336.99 |
| 08-18 07:50 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 17 above $40? | BUY | 0.998239441 | $116.00 |
| 08-18 07:47 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 17 above $1.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $128.87 |
| 08-18 07:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-15 01:15 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 08-15 01:11 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $219.76 |
| 08-12 06:41 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $290.85 |