RichBou
0x1777b97ce00517d72dfb904ac670e504e7def809
- Realised P&L
- $-75.89
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $248.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.34at 0.500US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
- +$14.60at 0.270Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
- +$12.04at 0.725Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$10.29at 0.806Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$9.85at 0.507Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 08:45 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.9841142891 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 08:45 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.9239999708 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 08:43 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 08:42 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 08:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 08:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.401 | $10.13 |
| 09-07 08:38 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | BUY | 0.5239999904 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 08:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 07-19 18:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.588 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:08 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.367 | $3.39 |
| 07-09 21:19 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | SELL | 0.335 | $1.34 |
| 07-09 20:08 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 17:40 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 19:36 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 19:36 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |