MrIdiotPigeon
0x172a3a8d6ae439b9dec9ef6246823535c6289bff
- Realised P&L
- $22.49
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $80.63
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.80at 0.420Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.47at 0.674Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.351LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
- +$5.75at 0.580Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$4.51at 0.187LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 01:41 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 01:39 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.7299999744 | $6.00 |
| 10-25 01:38 | LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 01:37 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 10-25 01:37 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 10-25 01:36 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 10-25 01:35 | LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.549999945 | $3.00 |
| 10-25 01:24 | Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 01:18 | Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $4.00 |
| 10-25 01:16 | Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 10-25 01:14 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $16.52 |
| 10-24 12:39 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.9099999163 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 12:29 | LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 12:28 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $4.00 |
| 10-24 12:28 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $3.00 |