PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MrIdiotPigeon

0x172a3a8d6ae439b9dec9ef6246823535c6289bff

Realised P&L
$22.49
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$80.63

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.8960.955$9.96+$0.61
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.8700.915$7.36+$0.36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8360.825$7.11−$0.09
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7600.715$6.59−$0.41
Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · No0.8700.803$5.95−$0.50
Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.5100.735$5.76+$1.76
Iran leadership change by November 30? · No0.9100.915$5.03+$0.03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.875$4.86+$0.86
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · No0.7000.565$4.84−$1.16
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.3600.465$3.88+$0.88
Will Tom Holland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? · Yes0.3840.210$3.58−$2.96
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · No0.7800.765$3.39−$0.07
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? · Yes0.6000.580$2.72−$0.09
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8200.705$2.58−$0.42
Will Zendaya rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? · Yes0.2900.215$2.37−$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 01:41LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.68$2.00
10-25 01:39LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.7299999744$6.00
10-25 01:38LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.64$5.00
10-25 01:37LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.7299999416$3.00
10-25 01:37LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.32$3.00
10-25 01:36LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.25$3.00
10-25 01:35LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.549999945$3.00
10-25 01:24Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
10-25 01:18Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.5099999516$4.00
10-25 01:16Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?BUY0.3599999712$3.00
10-25 01:14Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.85$16.52
10-24 12:39Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.9099999163$5.00
10-24 12:29LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-24 12:28LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.7599999848$4.00
10-24 12:28LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.5699999886$3.00