PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ValerieGraham9908

0x169a4a0c00e3808af80dd5038c32107befa055e4

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$265.2k
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? · Yes0.4101.000$810.00+$477.90
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? · SpaceX0.8701.000$799.00+$103.87
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers · Eastern Illinois Panthers0.6991.000$490.00+$147.49
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins0.4900.500$469.00+$9.38
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6600.915$398.02+$110.92
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks · Jacksonville State Gamecocks0.8491.000$121.00+$18.27
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · No0.4901.000$8.00+$4.08
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? · Yes0.3200.107$7.92$15.76
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.8000.988$0.99+$0.19
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.4800.205$0.20$0.28
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.4200.185$0.18$0.23
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.3100.068$0.07$0.24
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5) · Al Najmah Saudi Club0.2830.000$0.00$120.28
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$333.35
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-23 12:09Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.56$342.16
04-13 04:37Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL0.36$73.08
04-13 04:35Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL0.36$111.96
04-12 20:49Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?SELL0.61$374.54
04-12 20:48Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?SELL0.61$47.58
04-12 19:13Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5BUY0.89$163.76
04-12 19:00Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.49$255.78
04-12 17:43Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?BUY0.86$595.12
04-12 15:32Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?SELL0.75$407.25
04-11 17:53Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.82$204.18
04-11 17:36Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?SELL0.1$0.60
04-11 07:08Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?SELL0.1$0.90
04-10 14:38Will the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be between 4,500 and 5,000?BUY0.84$441.00
04-09 23:45Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.83$348.60
04-09 23:43Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.83$67.23