ValerieGraham9908
0x169a4a0c00e3808af80dd5038c32107befa055e4
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $265.2k
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$942.75at 0.162Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
- +$832.70at 0.300Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-11?
- +$804.72at 0.440Will Melania say "Conflict" or "War" 3+ times during Security Council events on March 2?
- +$560.70at 0.199Will Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?
- +$387.09at 0.430Will John Oliver say "Epstein" or "Pedophile" on Last Week Tonight?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 12:09 | Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? | BUY | 0.56 | $342.16 |
| 04-13 04:37 | Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SELL | 0.36 | $73.08 |
| 04-13 04:35 | Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SELL | 0.36 | $111.96 |
| 04-12 20:49 | Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05? | SELL | 0.61 | $374.54 |
| 04-12 20:48 | Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05? | SELL | 0.61 | $47.58 |
| 04-12 19:13 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $163.76 |
| 04-12 19:00 | Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.49 | $255.78 |
| 04-12 17:43 | Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05? | BUY | 0.86 | $595.12 |
| 04-12 15:32 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $407.25 |
| 04-11 17:53 | Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $204.18 |
| 04-11 17:36 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.60 |
| 04-11 07:08 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.90 |
| 04-10 14:38 | Will the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be between 4,500 and 5,000? | BUY | 0.84 | $441.00 |
| 04-09 23:45 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $348.60 |
| 04-09 23:43 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $67.23 |