PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Esco

0x168b9b7144d54da024f9fde34ef6df579eef0450

Realised P&L
$194.43
Volume
$74.5k
Markets traded
773
Open portfolio
$82.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded773
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.2400.905$18.10+$13.30
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? · No0.4600.875$17.50+$8.30
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.3100.815$8.15+$5.05
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4000.540$5.40+$1.40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6300.945$4.72+$1.57
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? · No0.7700.890$4.45+$0.60
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2300.960$4.42+$3.36
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2290.909$3.97+$2.97
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · No0.5900.680$3.40+$0.45
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? · No0.6700.955$2.85+$0.85
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · No0.7100.850$2.39+$0.39
USD1 depeg by December 31? · No0.7500.940$1.25+$0.25
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · No0.8000.875$1.09+$0.09
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? · No0.8700.935$1.07+$0.07
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? · No0.8500.885$1.04+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:35Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?BUY0.4$4.00
09-02 11:28Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?BUY0.77$3.85
08-06 05:07Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.981$19.61
08-05 12:32Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?BUY0.889999911$1.00
08-04 04:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
08-04 04:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.77$1.00
08-04 04:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.63$1.00
07-27 09:09Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
07-20 06:54Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
06-06 08:48Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.013$1.44
06-03 12:09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?BUY0.77$1.00
06-02 11:14Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?BUY0.32$1.60
06-02 11:11Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
06-02 11:08Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002999997$1.00
06-02 11:07Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008999991$1.00