windy-weather
0x164cb85e1718d0a8f95d588b08fbb52b34233e39
- Realised P&L
- $24.7k
- Volume
- $784.1k
- Markets traded
- 4,182
- Open portfolio
- $537.59
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded4,182
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$485.97at 0.617Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 23?
- +$385.65at 0.097Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
- +$379.54at 0.100Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16?
- +$378.76at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 6?
- +$358.96at 0.570Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3693250962 | $63.37 |
| 11-01 18:10 | Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 18:10 | Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? | BUY | 0.56 | $41.86 |
| 11-01 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.0031746172 | $0.36 |
| 11-01 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0828171362 | $4.97 |
| 11-01 07:18 | Exact Score: FC Machida Zelvia 1 - 1 Gamba Ōsaka? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 11-01 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.2153665158 | $9.52 |
| 11-01 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.2812471025 | $6.07 |
| 11-01 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.09 |
| 11-01 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.2833377793 | $8.50 |
| 11-01 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 11-01 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.60 |
| 11-01 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.3055369336 | $4.92 |
| 11-01 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 11-01 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.3223449782 | $73.82 |