PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

maksims55

0x163b1ac0a4456202d243ae1c1805da96442408de

Realised P&L
$10.84
Volume
$17.1k
Markets traded
1,012
Open portfolio
$23.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,012
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4590.245$1.72−$1.49
Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? · Yes0.4000.315$1.57−$0.42
Will PCN win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? · Yes0.4400.305$1.52−$0.68
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31? · Yes0.2800.285$1.43+$0.03
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.2600.295$1.21+$0.14
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat? · No0.2350.115$1.15−$1.20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000? · Yes0.2300.210$1.05−$0.10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.2100.193$0.96−$0.09
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? · Yes0.2400.190$0.95−$0.25
Will Natalia Silva fight Alexa Grasso next? · No0.3000.175$0.88−$0.63
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.2800.155$0.78−$0.63
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 65%-70%? · Yes0.2300.150$0.75−$0.40
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.3000.150$0.75−$0.75
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 9%-12%? · Yes0.2250.132$0.66−$0.47
3Jane FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3000.090$0.63−$1.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 15:08Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?SELL0.074$0.01
10-31 10:00Will the Democrats win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?SELL0.19$0.13
10-28 16:55Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.39$0.16
10-28 05:39Science City Jena vs. Fraport SkylinersSELL0.011$0.05
10-27 20:46Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.043$0.17
10-27 19:35Will "I Love Boosters" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.21$0.95
10-27 07:11Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.25$1.21
10-24 02:06Will "We're Fine" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.24$0.27
10-22 19:27Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?SELL0.278$0.07
10-21 05:47Will Baylor have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.05$0.25
10-17 16:15Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.14$0.15
10-16 10:03Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?SELL0.19$0.90
10-15 21:31Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.05$0.21
10-15 20:49Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.46$0.05
10-15 20:48Maduro guilty of all counts?SELL0.28$0.26