PolyBot

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Traders

0x15FbF007D833077883157d3fc579175b33E941De-1769432567690

0x15fbf007d833077883157d3fc579175b33e941de

Realised P&L
$472.06
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$450.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Valencia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Despina Papamichail · Despina Papamichail0.3900.415$106.41+$6.41
W35 Kyoto: Hiromi Abe vs Sayaka Ishii · Hiromi Abe0.6510.310$95.27$104.73
Guangzhou: Bernard Tomic vs Alexandr Binda · Bernard Tomic0.8300.835$83.50+$0.50
Phan Thiet 4: Matthew Dellavedova vs Hunter Heck · Matthew Dellavedova0.7100.685$68.50$2.50
Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · Francesco Maestrelli0.4100.365$36.49$4.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7600.779$31.18+$0.78
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.7600.735$29.01$0.99
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.7400.000$0.00$22.20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:26Phan Thiet 4: Matthew Dellavedova vs Hunter HeckBUY0.71$71.00
09-17 11:13W35 Kyoto: Hiromi Abe vs Sayaka IshiiBUY0.6507592187$200.00
09-17 10:53Valencia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Despina PapamichailBUY0.3899999991$100.00
09-17 10:51Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$762.08
08-12 10:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8199999983$77.00
08-12 10:37Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.88$75.12
07-24 14:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7199999986$100.00
07-24 14:10US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.66$97.05
07-23 18:01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.699999993$10.00
07-23 17:43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.71$75.00
07-23 17:43Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.5562000124$89.71
07-23 17:30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.6999999996$192.00
07-23 17:29NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.79$190.36
07-23 09:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
07-23 09:05Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.92$9.20