PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Newnewnewnew

0x15a398ca62dd70b734e877601fe07f2adfabd715

Realised P&L
$-519.72
Volume
$55.4k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$827.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2370.245$396.70+$12.48
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1060.038$328.47$574.14
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1180.080$73.33$35.24
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0860.041$18.38$20.74
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.006$11.01$2.30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.1200.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.0078592432$13.32
09-16 13:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999999$100.00
07-14 12:10Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3599999904$15.00
07-14 12:10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2139999981$70.00
07-11 21:56Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1824999927$20.00
07-11 21:49Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999994$30.00
07-10 13:20Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999993$30.00
07-10 13:19Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.2232820017$40.38
07-07 12:16Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-07 12:15Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999913$11.00
06-19 06:14Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.17$2.79
06-06 06:42Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1709999934$20.00
06-06 06:42Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$24.23
06-06 06:41Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0389130559$57.03
06-02 20:33Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.3129999921$20.00