PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Newnewnewnew

0x15a398ca62dd70b734e877601fe07f2adfabd715

Realised P&L
$-737.28
Volume
$52.9k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$492.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1060.030$260.22$642.39
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2370.100$161.92$222.31
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1180.055$50.41$58.15
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0860.044$20.20$18.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 12:10Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3599999904$15.00
07-14 12:10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2139999981$70.00
07-11 21:56Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1824999927$20.00
07-11 21:49Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999994$30.00
07-10 13:20Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999993$30.00
07-10 13:19Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.2232820017$40.38
07-07 12:16Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-07 12:15Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999913$11.00
06-19 06:14Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.17$2.79
06-06 06:42Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1709999934$20.00
06-06 06:42Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$24.23
06-06 06:41Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0389130559$57.03
06-02 20:33Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.3129999921$20.00
06-02 20:29Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$1.00
06-02 20:25Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$19.00