0x151b733482576f1106199b31cd5f0b79e017730f
0x151b733482576f1106199b31cd5f0b79e017730f
- Realised P&L
- $-23.58
- Volume
- $485.41
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $36.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.970 | $5.84 | +$0.54 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.985 | $4.94 | +$0.53 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.645 | $4.46 | −$0.17 |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D · NRG | 0.500 | 0.515 | $4.12 | +$0.12 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.865 | $4.07 | +$0.07 |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D · Karmine Corp | 0.810 | 0.815 | $4.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.910 | $3.26 | +$0.14 |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 2 Winner · NRG | 0.511 | 0.505 | $2.96 | −$0.04 |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 1 Winner · NRG | 0.520 | 0.505 | $2.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.22at 0.332Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
- +$2.51at 0.585Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
- +$1.80at 0.694Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
- +$1.72at 0.773Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$1.12at 0.784Purdue vs. UCLA
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 16:37 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | BUY | 0.8099999838 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 16:36 | Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5114753763 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 16:36 | Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 16:35 | Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 11:59 | Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | SELL | 0.999 | $6.09 |
| 09-24 11:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8499998831 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 03:03 | Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $3.50 |
| 09-24 03:02 | Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 03:02 | Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 03:02 | Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4131147406 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 05:20 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.30 |
| 09-21 05:15 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.992 | $5.41 |
| 09-21 03:58 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999768 | $4.63 |
| 09-21 03:21 | Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.60 |
| 09-21 02:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.18 |