0x1516df6aecb4b039448590fdb9dcfd85c4183f5a
- Realised P&L
- $-127.20
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $48.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.88at 0.254Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$26.32at 0.259Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
- +$25.47at 0.955Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
- +$23.20at 0.197Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$19.15at 0.343Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 19:24 | Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $4.59 |
| 08-22 01:14 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.06 |
| 08-21 16:56 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.23 | $6.39 |
| 08-19 22:50 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $21.56 |
| 08-19 06:14 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.42 |
| 08-19 00:21 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.80 |
| 08-18 23:14 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $18.07 |
| 08-18 22:41 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $6.28 |
| 08-18 22:07 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.05 |
| 08-18 21:01 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $15.62 |
| 08-18 18:14 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.55 |
| 08-18 17:40 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.92 |
| 08-18 16:33 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.36 |
| 08-18 16:33 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.44 | $25.34 |
| 08-18 13:46 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.16 |