PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1516df6aecb4b039448590fdb9dcfd85c4183f5a

Realised P&L
$-127.20
Volume
$15.7k
Markets traded
364
Open portfolio
$48.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded364
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 19:24Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?SELL0.78$4.59
08-22 01:14Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.11$1.06
08-21 16:56Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?SELL0.23$6.39
08-19 22:50Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$21.56
08-19 06:14Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?SELL0.1$1.42
08-19 00:21Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?SELL0.32$4.80
08-18 23:14Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.33$18.07
08-18 22:41Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.25$6.28
08-18 22:07Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$2.05
08-18 21:01Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.28$15.62
08-18 18:14Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.15$1.55
08-18 17:40Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.2$1.92
08-18 16:33Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.37$7.36
08-18 16:33Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?SELL0.44$25.34
08-18 13:46Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$5.16