0x15043e67Df1c3A62095ddE5c04E4344d880b5701-1764601867718
0x15043e67df1c3a62095dde5c04e4344d880b5701
- Realised P&L
- $-56.71
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $103.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.54at 0.260International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)
- +$4.32at 0.410T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)
- +$4.14at 0.420International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1)
- +$4.07at 0.860Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?
- +$3.82at 0.234Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 17:01 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999704 | $4.50 |
| 10-23 17:00 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $4.33 |
| 10-18 05:36 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 05:35 | Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0234934806 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 14:12 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 14:10 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 14:08 | Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0153023163 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 14:06 | Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 14:06 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 13:03 | Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0264187349 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 13:02 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 13:01 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 13:00 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999915 | $15.00 |
| 10-12 12:58 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 08-06 02:42 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |