0x14f680980Fd308cc256F29216e61DB404E4AF9f7-1776544682168
0x14f680980fd308cc256f29216e61db404e4af9f7
- Realised P&L
- $-59.11
- Volume
- $107.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,126
- Open portfolio
- $181.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,126
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.32at 0.267England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$126.57at 0.101LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
- +$76.90at 0.280LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
- +$66.31at 0.487Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
- +$66.21at 0.875Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 10:37 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1043333333 | $4.69 |
| 09-19 10:37 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $7.83 |
| 09-19 09:46 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $5.34 |
| 09-19 09:37 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.62 |
| 09-19 09:04 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.58 |
| 09-19 09:02 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.40 |
| 09-19 08:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $8.46 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-19 07:28 | No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | SELL | 0.08 | $6.40 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.4 | $4.40 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.6 | $0.60 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.19 |
| 09-19 07:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.594 | $1.19 |
| 09-19 07:27 | Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.86 |