PolyBot

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Traders

0x14f680980Fd308cc256F29216e61DB404E4AF9f7-1776544682168

0x14f680980fd308cc256f29216e61db404e4af9f7

Realised P&L
$-59.11
Volume
$107.9k
Markets traded
1,126
Open portfolio
$181.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,126
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? · No0.8700.865$129.88$0.75
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR? · Yes0.0020.005$8.66+$5.48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9400.935$8.41$0.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.265$7.68$0.14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1040.137$6.17+$1.47
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9300.925$5.55$0.03
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · Yes0.2100.205$4.51$0.11
Set 1 Winner: Schuman vs Voloshchuk · Voloshchuk0.5100.500$4.00$0.08
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Boyer (+1.5) · Boyer0.5900.500$3.50$0.63
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5 · Under 2.50.6200.500$3.50$0.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$4.70
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-07-29? · No0.6400.000$0.00$7.04
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) · Racing Club de Lens0.7600.000$0.00$8.36
Will Racing Club win on 2026-07-24? · No0.4700.000$0.00$4.23
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cincinnati Reds0.4200.000$0.00$7.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 10:37Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1043333333$4.69
09-19 10:37US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.27$7.83
09-19 09:46Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?SELL0.89$5.34
09-19 09:37Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.21$4.62
09-19 09:04Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.93$5.58
09-19 09:02Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9$5.40
09-19 08:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.94$8.46
09-19 07:28Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.84$8.40
09-19 07:28No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027SELL0.08$6.40
09-19 07:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?SELL0.93$4.65
09-19 07:28Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.4$4.40
09-19 07:28Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.6$0.60
09-19 07:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?SELL0.19$0.19
09-19 07:27US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.594$1.19
09-19 07:27Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?SELL0.81$4.86