nero2589
0x14649d0d53a022d17730170671fe5b5a2ea15e75
- Realised P&L
- $-50.2k
- Volume
- $4.44M
- Markets traded
- 2,163
- Open portfolio
- $8.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,163
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.250UFC Fight Night: Grant vs. Blackshear
- +$5.6kat 0.297UFC Fight Night: Buday vs. Buchecha
- +$5.2kat 0.198UFC Fight Night: Salikhov vs. Leal
- +$4.9kat 0.484UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. Ochoa
- +$3.9kat 0.210Wings vs Storm
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 20:27 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 10-03 04:42 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $97.11 |
| 10-02 17:00 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 10-02 10:42 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 10-02 10:42 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $83.61 |
| 10-01 09:33 | Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $651.90 |
| 10-01 09:27 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.6707 | $201.21 |
| 10-01 08:06 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $65.99 |
| 10-01 07:49 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6672435 | $400.35 |
| 09-29 17:04 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5498064516 | $85.22 |
| 09-29 15:19 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 09-29 13:14 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $69.60 |
| 09-29 13:01 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $60.59 |
| 09-29 12:47 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $99.76 |
| 09-23 03:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $784.00 |