PolyBot

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Traders

nero2589

0x14649d0d53a022d17730170671fe5b5a2ea15e75

Realised P&L
$-50.2k
Volume
$4.44M
Markets traded
2,163
Open portfolio
$8.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,163
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 20:27Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.5$250.00
10-03 04:42Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.83$97.11
10-02 17:00Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.38$11.40
10-02 10:42Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.39$78.00
10-02 10:42Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.57$83.61
10-01 09:33Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?BUY0.82$651.90
10-01 09:27Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?SELL0.6707$201.21
10-01 08:06Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?BUY0.66$65.99
10-01 07:49Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?BUY0.6672435$400.35
09-29 17:04Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5498064516$85.22
09-29 15:19Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.83$83.00
09-29 13:14Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.58$69.60
09-29 13:01Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.83$60.59
09-29 12:47NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.86$99.76
09-23 03:27NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$784.00