PolyBot

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Traders

Mr-guess

0x140ee52cbec56b3a535b34259d8dd09ac696ea2f

Realised P&L
$207.64
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$411.57

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 10:11Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
10-06 10:10Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-06 10:05Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$6.00
10-06 09:53Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6499999994$100.00
10-06 09:50Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026?BUY0.996$20.00
09-14 01:45NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9229999946$10.00
09-14 01:43Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
09-14 01:43Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.9299999284$10.00
09-14 01:40Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.9199999988$30.00
09-14 01:19EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?BUY0.9679999985$10.00
09-14 01:18Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9099999991$30.00
09-14 01:18Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?BUY0.9599999693$10.00
09-14 01:16U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? BUY0.95$10.00
09-14 01:15European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?BUY0.9099999991$30.00
04-24 11:072026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5099999985$100.00