0x13f8aEa71Ef01791a9F185A75E772AE88BAAB89E-1771215169744
0x13f8aea71ef01791a9f185a75e772ae88baab89e
- Realised P&L
- $-67.05
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $20.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.745 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.190 | 0.145 | $7.63 | −$2.37 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $1.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.015 | $1.00 | −$9.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.11at 0.325Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$13.64at 0.427Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$11.47at 0.472Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$9.73at 0.512LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
- +$9.34at 0.522LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 15:50 | Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 08:05 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999625 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 05:40 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 00:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0103666983 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 21:20 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 20:59 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.54 |
| 10-14 20:22 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:54 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.25 | $4.63 |
| 10-14 19:54 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 19:42 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 18:17 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 17:12 | Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:59 | Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 15:48 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.38 | $9.74 |