0x13f565fa5ba266e7c6ee4e3cfb7f3e0b1c567c32
- Realised P&L
- $-39.68
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $29.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.68at 0.122XRP Up or Down - September 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$3.84at 0.449Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$2.01at 0.404Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.545Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$0.93at 0.264Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 18:57 | Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.0813018181 | $2.92 |
| 09-11 11:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 13? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.20 |
| 09-10 21:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3399999533 | $1.60 |
| 09-10 21:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 21:01 | Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $0.99 |
| 09-09 17:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.0180952381 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:33 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.0545797475 | $4.24 |
| 09-09 17:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 04:45 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 14:33 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999675 | $1.63 |
| 09-07 12:28 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.0100707601 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 12:20 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |