PolyBot

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Traders

0x12D3787b487cE94C8569E423Ecf992CE7BcE5Ffa-1774957686083

0x12d3787b487ce94c8569e423ecf992ce7bce5ffa

Realised P&L
$-49.00
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$7.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump deport 900k-1m people? · Yes0.0110.029$2.55+$1.55
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2330.085$1.82−$3.18
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0780.021$1.58−$4.42
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$0.38−$0.63
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0700.024$0.34−$0.66
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1050.017$0.31−$1.69
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0800.021$0.26−$0.74
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0900.019$0.22−$0.78
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.035$0.22−$0.78
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1030.019$0.18−$0.82
Will Oman strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$1.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-13 07:41Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.2331454895$5.00
05-09 20:47Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
05-05 08:37Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
05-05 08:37Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
05-05 08:30Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.059999946$1.00
05-05 08:29Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
05-01 19:33QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?BUY0.0401252692$5.00
05-01 19:33NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0629999885$5.00
05-01 19:32Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0789999857$5.00
05-01 19:32US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.08$5.00
05-01 19:32Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
05-01 19:31Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.0279999946$5.00
04-22 16:38MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?BUY0.05$0.86
04-18 15:17Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
04-18 06:12Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.0070000001$1.00