0x12D3787b487cE94C8569E423Ecf992CE7BcE5Ffa-1774957686083
0x12d3787b487ce94c8569e423ecf992ce7bce5ffa
- Realised P&L
- $-49.00
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $7.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.00at 0.100QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
- +$-5.00at 0.040QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 07:41 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.2331454895 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 20:47 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:37 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:30 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:29 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 19:33 | QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | BUY | 0.0401252692 | $5.00 |
| 05-01 19:33 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0629999885 | $5.00 |
| 05-01 19:32 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0789999857 | $5.00 |
| 05-01 19:32 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 05-01 19:32 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 19:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.0279999946 | $5.00 |
| 04-22 16:38 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.86 |
| 04-18 15:17 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 06:12 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |