22ss
0x1298e0d3effdafcce673e5eb576625fad7c10297
- Realised P&L
- $-20.38
- Volume
- $70.4k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $40.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.59at 0.900Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.631Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
- +$1.10at 0.780Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.00at 0.900Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
- +$0.80at 0.920Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:29 | Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 09:29 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:29 | Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:28 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:28 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:27 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 09:27 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9499999208 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 09:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:26 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 09:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $19.62 |
| 08-20 07:33 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.94 |
| 08-20 07:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |