srl
0x11cb7da26758f72ed12caef77910f51cd4e1e8c0
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $31.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.589Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$18.02at 0.920Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$17.65at 0.743US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
- +$11.11at 0.958Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$7.14at 0.753Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 15:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 15:00 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 21:58 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 21:56 | Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099994391 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 21:55 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 21:54 | Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 21:43 | Will Trump say "Clean Coal" or "Beautiful Coal" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 21:29 | Will Trump say "Permit" or "Permitting" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 21:05 | Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 21:00 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9769994333 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 20:54 | Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? | BUY | 0.0706931299 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 10:12 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | SELL | 0.934 | $1.24 |
| 08-04 16:38 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:20 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:19 | Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |