PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

srl

0x11cb7da26758f72ed12caef77910f51cd4e1e8c0

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$17.0k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$31.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration96.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.2500.615$2.46+$1.46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · No0.3900.855$2.19+$1.19
Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat? · Yes0.8400.920$2.19+$0.19
Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat? · Yes0.8700.870$2.00+$0.00
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? · Yes0.7600.870$1.14+$0.14
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? · Yes0.0710.079$1.12+$0.12
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat? · Yes0.8000.880$1.10+$0.10
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? · Yes0.8300.890$1.07+$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? · Yes0.8400.900$1.07+$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat? · Yes0.8400.865$1.03+$0.03
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat? · Yes0.9100.935$1.03+$0.03
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8700.885$1.02+$0.02
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat? · Yes0.8800.895$1.02+$0.02
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat? · Yes0.8800.885$1.01+$0.01
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.935$1.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 15:01Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026?BUY0.54$1.00
08-08 15:00Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-06 21:58Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.9809999922$1.00
08-06 21:56Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099994391$1.00
08-06 21:55Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-06 21:54Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
08-06 21:43Will Trump say "Clean Coal" or "Beautiful Coal" during Friday roundtable?BUY0.7$1.00
08-06 21:29Will Trump say "Permit" or "Permitting" during Friday roundtable?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
08-06 21:05Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?BUY0.55$1.00
08-06 21:00Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.9769994333$1.00
08-06 20:54Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?BUY0.0706931299$1.00
08-06 10:12Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?SELL0.934$1.24
08-04 16:38US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-04 16:20Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-04 16:19Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.8$1.00