PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

srl

0x11cb7da26758f72ed12caef77910f51cd4e1e8c0

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$17.0k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$28.06

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat? · Yes0.8400.945$2.25+$0.25
Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat? · Yes0.8700.953$2.19+$0.19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8600.865$2.01+$0.01
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.7400.535$1.45$0.55
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.6700.810$1.21+$0.21
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? · Yes0.7600.855$1.12+$0.12
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat? · Yes0.8300.930$1.12+$0.12
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat? · Yes0.8000.895$1.12+$0.12
Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat? · Yes0.8400.935$1.11+$0.11
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? · Yes0.8400.925$1.10+$0.10
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat? · Yes0.8800.945$1.07+$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat? · Yes0.8800.930$1.06+$0.06
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.976$1.05+$0.05
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat? · Yes0.9100.945$1.04+$0.04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9770.998$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 19:32Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
09-05 19:29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8599999656$2.00
08-31 15:10Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9579999866$2.00
08-29 17:49Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-29 17:47Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.84$2.00
08-29 17:42Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.74$2.00
08-29 17:36Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026?BUY0.99$2.00
08-29 17:33Will Trump say "Incompetent" this week?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-29 16:33Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?BUY0.75$2.00
08-29 16:29Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6699996951$2.00
08-19 20:29Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?SELL0.934$1.39
08-17 13:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?SELL0.92$2.48
08-11 18:30UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.76$2.00
08-11 18:14US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.74$2.00
08-09 20:08Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.962999557$1.00