0x11B8b3f42013D178e1755e2ee40D797a29519ee0-1769340876173
0x11b8b3f42013d178e1755e2ee40d797a29519ee0
- Realised P&L
- $-161.84
- Volume
- $30.9k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $326.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.63at 0.887Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
- +$146.94at 0.514Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
- +$112.69at 0.374Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$89.39at 0.118Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
- +$76.54at 0.890Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 18:27 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 18:26 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 06-08 12:14 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | SELL | 0.1517841759 | $87.04 |
| 06-08 12:13 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.1976642672 | $30.00 |
| 05-11 07:00 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.00 |
| 05-10 23:02 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 23:02 | Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 23:01 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.2925773136 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 22:57 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 18:45 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 18:06 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.0529999903 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 12:12 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 16:59 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.2599999927 | $25.00 |
| 04-30 12:31 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999923 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 12:31 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $50.00 |