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Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x11B8b3f42013D178e1755e2ee40D797a29519ee0-1769340876173

0x11b8b3f42013d178e1755e2ee40d797a29519ee0

Realised P&L
$-161.84
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$326.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1290.130$130.64+$0.89
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.4200.145$54.71$103.81
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3740.215$54.01$39.84
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3960.255$35.39$19.61
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2440.120$22.94$23.73
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3950.075$5.50$23.50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.4140.055$5.31$34.69
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.4500.065$4.33$25.67
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.3000.125$4.17$5.83
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2700.065$1.93$6.07
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes0.4000.095$1.90$6.10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1100.038$1.73$3.27
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1540.086$1.66$1.34
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2600.072$1.39$3.61
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2300.090$1.17$1.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 18:27France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6499999935$10.00
07-17 18:26Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.599999994$20.00
06-08 12:14Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.1517841759$87.04
06-08 12:13Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.1976642672$30.00
05-11 07:00Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.009$3.00
05-10 23:02Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
05-10 23:02Iran closes its airspace by May 15?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
05-10 23:01Israel closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.2925773136$10.00
05-10 22:57Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.05$5.00
05-10 18:45Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.08$5.00
05-10 18:06Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.0529999903$5.00
05-07 12:12Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.1$10.00
05-04 16:59Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.2599999927$25.00
04-30 12:31Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0389999923$5.00
04-30 12:31Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999985$50.00
Trader 0x11B8b3f42013D178e1755e2ee40D797a29519ee0-1769340876173 · PolyBot