PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MatthewHor

0x1180054a106fee8b99e2fbedffbc1335947f13ce

Realised P&L
$-119.91
Volume
$12.7k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$78.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes0.2100.185$39.64$5.36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1260.038$23.60$53.39
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.1400.085$15.18$9.82
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$25.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$50.00
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$81.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 03:37Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
06-21 03:37Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
06-21 03:37Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?BUY0.2099999934$25.00
06-21 03:37Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?BUY0.1399999922$15.00
06-21 03:37Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
06-11 01:21Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?BUY0.0355023668$25.00
05-18 14:51Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?BUY0.0689999937$10.00
05-17 21:19Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?BUY0.0540457582$5.00
05-17 20:52Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?BUY0.0549999902$5.00
05-12 00:31Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?BUY0.0627463793$30.00
05-12 00:31Canada recession before 2027?SELL0.1182843433$45.11
05-12 00:31Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?SELL0.5754154104$103.06
03-31 01:18Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.5583250227$100.00
03-29 22:11Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?SELL0.86$430.00
03-28 21:46Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0979999571$2.00