MatthewHor
0x1180054a106fee8b99e2fbedffbc1335947f13ce
- Realised P&L
- $-119.91
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $78.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.185 | $39.64 | −$5.36 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.038 | $23.60 | −$53.39 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.085 | $15.18 | −$9.82 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.41at 0.264US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$30.00at 0.800Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$21.95at 0.920US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
- +$17.92at 0.890US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
- +$5.39at 0.730Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 03:37 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 03:37 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 03:37 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999934 | $25.00 |
| 06-21 03:37 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $15.00 |
| 06-21 03:37 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 01:21 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15? | BUY | 0.0355023668 | $25.00 |
| 05-18 14:51 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.0689999937 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 21:19 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.0540457582 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 20:52 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.0549999902 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 00:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.0627463793 | $30.00 |
| 05-12 00:31 | Canada recession before 2027? | SELL | 0.1182843433 | $45.11 |
| 05-12 00:31 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | SELL | 0.5754154104 | $103.06 |
| 03-31 01:18 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY | 0.5583250227 | $100.00 |
| 03-29 22:11 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | SELL | 0.86 | $430.00 |
| 03-28 21:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0979999571 | $2.00 |