PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x115863BdcD021BB117D93230B84d04B3868265e1-1759611045224

0x115863bdcd021bb117d93230b84d04b3868265e1

Realised P&L
$-35.62
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$19.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6510.617$4.74−$0.26
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Pacquiao0.3400.500$4.41+$1.41
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes0.0800.064$4.00−$1.00
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.3200.610$3.81+$1.81
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1750.082$0.94−$1.06
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3600.222$0.62−$0.38
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.5100.230$0.45−$0.55
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.020$0.25−$0.75
North Korea missile launch by February 28? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 20:09Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6509999559$5.00
07-20 20:08Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
07-12 21:23Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4199999472$3.50
07-12 21:23Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.64$3.37
07-09 23:08Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3889999538$4.00
07-09 23:07Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5674999507$4.00
07-09 23:07Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.2449998542$1.00
07-09 21:12Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2274999326$2.00
07-09 21:11Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.599999976$5.00
06-20 21:06Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.29999982$1.00
06-19 21:17Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
06-19 21:16Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
06-19 21:16Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.4699998919$2.00
06-19 21:16Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.16$1.00
06-17 15:56Will England win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.58$4.00