0x115863BdcD021BB117D93230B84d04B3868265e1-1759611045224
0x115863bdcd021bb117d93230b84d04b3868265e1
- Realised P&L
- $-35.62
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $19.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.65at 0.100Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$9.11at 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$8.50at 0.320Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$7.72at 0.393Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$5.67at 0.150Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 20:09 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6509999559 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 20:08 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 21:23 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999472 | $3.50 |
| 07-12 21:23 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.37 |
| 07-09 23:08 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3889999538 | $4.00 |
| 07-09 23:07 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5674999507 | $4.00 |
| 07-09 23:07 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2449998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 21:12 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2274999326 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 21:11 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 21:06 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 21:17 | Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 21:16 | Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 21:16 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 06-19 21:16 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 15:56 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.00 |