0x112D04c1a0AEa6A6597C9376771456264CB2a0EA-1762262320318
0x112d04c1a0aea6a6597c9376771456264cb2a0ea
- Realised P&L
- $-335.75
- Volume
- $26.2k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $38.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.760 | $17.82 | +$2.82 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.405 | $8.10 | −$0.70 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.991 | $5.70 | +$0.70 |
| Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.045 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.100 | $1.52 | −$3.48 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.060 | $1.05 | −$8.95 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.360 | $1.03 | −$0.97 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.683 | 0.043 | $0.31 | −$4.69 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.011 | $0.10 | −$1.90 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.50at 0.070Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
- +$44.34at 0.078Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$40.00at 0.180Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of June?
- +$23.53at 0.510Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$17.03at 0.370Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 11:07 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7699998691 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 11:06 | Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0336153015 | $1.87 |
| 07-27 06:25 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July? | SELL | 0.067 | $1.97 |
| 07-27 06:21 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July? | SELL | 0.0026067064 | $0.42 |
| 07-27 06:21 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in July? | SELL | 0.0024843581 | $0.16 |
| 07-27 06:21 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 07-06 15:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 17:35 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July? | BUY | 0.1535320037 | $25.00 |
| 07-02 17:34 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in July? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 17:34 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in July? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.60 |
| 07-02 10:00 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 10:00 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 09:59 | Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 09:39 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 07-01 15:59 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in July? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |