0x10782aaf15aab3679a0ff2aa4404255ab249f447
0x10782aaf15aab3679a0ff2aa4404255ab249f447
- Realised P&L
- $0.94
- Volume
- $84.43
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $2.94
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.285 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.725 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.195 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.085 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.253 | 0.004 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.26at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$0.97at 0.512Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
- +$0.67at 0.620US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:18 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:39 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 15:32 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:47 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 22:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:50 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2529999469 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:50 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:50 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:41 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:40 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 18:37 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 10:37 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |