PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x10782aaf15aab3679a0ff2aa4404255ab249f447

0x10782aaf15aab3679a0ff2aa4404255ab249f447

Realised P&L
$0.94
Volume
$84.43
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$2.94

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.2500.285$1.14+$0.14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.7500.725$0.97−$0.03
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes0.3800.195$0.51−$0.49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.2800.085$0.30−$0.70
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2530.004$0.01−$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:18Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-30 23:39Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-30 15:32Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
09-30 06:47Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-29 22:47Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
09-27 01:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-26 04:50Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.2529999469$1.00
09-24 19:09Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-24 10:50Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-24 02:50Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-23 18:41Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.749999625$1.00
09-23 10:40Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
09-23 02:38Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-22 18:37Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-22 10:37Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00