PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0F0A2dC58D8114477f9EFA7ef3Ad8bC3e8EDd790-1771633170498

0x0f0a2dc58d8114477f9efa7ef3ad8bc3e8edd790

Realised P&L
$7.42
Volume
$448.11
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$5.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.480$1.71+$0.71
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2440.152$1.25−$0.75
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.230$0.88−$0.12
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.3200.245$0.77−$0.23
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1900.125$0.66−$0.34
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.045$0.23−$0.28
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 21:28Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.32$1.00
09-24 19:42Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
08-05 22:36Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
08-05 22:36Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
08-05 22:36Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-15 20:52Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.175$1.56
07-14 20:47Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.015$0.33
07-14 20:35Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.045999957$1.00
07-14 20:29Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0451653986$1.37
07-14 20:26Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0409999622$1.00
07-11 23:59Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
07-11 23:31Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.013$0.48
07-11 21:52Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
07-10 20:26Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
07-08 16:35Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199998512$1.00