PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

agi

0x0ea38c7418f73dceb795f955c0cfa25a550a5166

Realised P&L
$-557.37
Volume
$112.1k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$704.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.6860.750$442.35+$37.74
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3500.235$168.03$81.97
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.6100.645$52.87+$2.87
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2190.200$18.28$1.72
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0300.015$9.50$10.50
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0290.021$7.41$2.59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0900.011$5.83$44.17
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? · No0.0350.000$0.00$50.00
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? · Yes0.4290.000$0.00$100.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00$50.00
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$49.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$100.00
Will Yura Borisov win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$20.00
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$50.00
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? · Yes0.7010.000$0.00$211.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 21:56Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2188219719$20.00
09-09 21:56Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0289999999$10.00
09-09 21:52Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.6099999989$49.00
09-09 21:51Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0899999999$50.00
09-09 21:51Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.969$116.85
09-09 21:50Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.985$16.54
09-09 21:47Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-09 21:44Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.6390126167$180.00
09-09 21:43Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0716977432$188.68
07-04 19:23Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?BUY0.7$186.64
07-04 19:22Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.981$189.40
07-04 19:20Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?BUY0.7099999728$24.82
07-04 19:17Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.69$15.18
07-04 19:17Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.59$9.43
07-04 19:15Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0305204761$20.00