agi
0x0ea38c7418f73dceb795f955c0cfa25a550a5166
- Realised P&L
- $-557.37
- Volume
- $112.1k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $704.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$429.11at 0.085Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$260.45at 0.395Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?
- +$210.00at 0.160Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?
- +$96.38at 0.560Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$75.16at 0.307Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 21:56 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2188219719 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 21:56 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0289999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 21:52 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6099999989 | $49.00 |
| 09-09 21:51 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 21:51 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.969 | $116.85 |
| 09-09 21:50 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.985 | $16.54 |
| 09-09 21:47 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 21:44 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.6390126167 | $180.00 |
| 09-09 21:43 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0716977432 | $188.68 |
| 07-04 19:23 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $186.64 |
| 07-04 19:22 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.981 | $189.40 |
| 07-04 19:20 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999728 | $24.82 |
| 07-04 19:17 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $15.18 |
| 07-04 19:17 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $9.43 |
| 07-04 19:15 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0305204761 | $20.00 |