JPRBotelho
0x0e6ff51d417ea36ca4b7f7f82a80537314741f19
- Realised P&L
- $112.38
- Volume
- $28.6k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $855.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.20at 0.460Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$22.02at 0.630Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$21.80at 0.758Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$13.03at 0.627SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
- +$11.88at 0.801Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 14:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.62 | $66.97 |
| 06-23 17:36 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $59.82 |
| 04-14 18:54 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.782 | $15.64 |
| 04-12 14:04 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 04-10 19:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.44 | $17.60 |
| 04-09 19:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 04-09 15:54 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.80 |
| 04-09 15:53 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 04-09 15:51 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.48 |
| 04-09 14:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.46 | $36.80 |
| 04-09 14:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.78 | $31.20 |
| 04-02 00:13 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $13.50 |
| 04-02 00:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 04-01 20:37 | SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.40 |
| 03-31 21:48 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.821 | $9.35 |