Ursula01
0x0d4147fea90bce769235ad3e00a4f146df7c246f
- Realised P&L
- $166.41
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $417.88
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.90at 0.563Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$102.76at 0.280US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$87.89at 0.376Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
- +$55.20at 0.290Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$52.46at 0.650Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 17:44 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.9658012153 | $22.25 |
| 07-02 09:28 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 09:26 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3509999988 | $100.00 |
| 05-06 19:30 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2099999925 | $18.00 |
| 05-06 19:24 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.46 | $41.40 |
| 05-06 14:53 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.45 | $19.71 |
| 05-06 14:47 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.47 | $83.14 |
| 05-06 12:09 | Will Trump say "Maduro" during events with Brazilian president? | BUY | 0.5499999709 | $1.89 |
| 05-06 12:08 | Will Trump say "Cuba" during events with Brazilian president? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 12:08 | Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" during events with Brazilian president? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 11:01 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.03 |
| 05-05 08:28 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:27 | Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:27 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:27 | Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |