PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AmbersShadow

0x0d35a99440084db204ec27d596fcb0d0ec96fbca

Realised P&L
$-30.14
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$582.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.725$485.75$10.05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0800.065$81.25$18.75
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0750.082$4.89+$0.39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0390.046$4.65+$0.75
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0550.054$2.18$0.02
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1200.115$1.15$0.05
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.011$0.94$0.13
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0600.045$0.90$0.30
Will Azzapp Win the ADC Race 2026? · Yes0.2500.060$0.60$1.90

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 10:28Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.075$4.50
09-17 10:26Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.055$2.20
09-17 10:26Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.012$1.08
09-17 10:26Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.06$1.20
09-15 17:50Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.12$1.20
09-15 17:40Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$495.80
09-13 08:23Will Azzapp Win the ADC Race 2026?BUY0.25$2.50
09-13 08:17Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.039$3.90
09-11 17:53Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.08$100.00