AmbersShadow
0x0d35a99440084db204ec27d596fcb0d0ec96fbca
- Realised P&L
- $-30.14
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $582.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.725 | $485.75 | −$10.05 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $81.25 | −$18.75 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.082 | $4.89 | +$0.39 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.046 | $4.65 | +$0.75 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.054 | $2.18 | −$0.02 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $1.15 | −$0.05 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.011 | $0.94 | −$0.13 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.045 | $0.90 | −$0.30 |
| Will Azzapp Win the ADC Race 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.060 | $0.60 | −$1.90 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 10:28 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.075 | $4.50 |
| 09-17 10:26 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.055 | $2.20 |
| 09-17 10:26 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.08 |
| 09-17 10:26 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 17:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 17:40 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $495.80 |
| 09-13 08:23 | Will Azzapp Win the ADC Race 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-13 08:17 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $3.90 |
| 09-11 17:53 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |