PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AlmostAndy

0x0ced4f3afa5d9bfbd7ab82fd124896a7160c12b2

Realised P&L
$-170.9k
Volume
$9.49M
Markets traded
323
Open portfolio
$21.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded323
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7000.735$11.8k+$569.28
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.3060.745$5.4k+$3.2k
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2970.105$2.2k$4.0k
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6100.475$1.9k$526.50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0390.035$386.91$38.97
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$220.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 18:49Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.022$220.00
05-11 16:59Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.64$279.01
05-11 16:58Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.064$7.96
05-05 10:54Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.3$26.57
05-05 10:53Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.7$2.9k
05-05 10:53Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.81$4.1k
05-05 10:52Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.7$980.00
05-03 13:19Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.67$880.38
04-26 21:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?BUY0.19$198.79
04-26 21:00Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.56$2.80
04-20 11:22Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?BUY0.55$27.05
04-20 11:22Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?BUY0.55$519.63
04-14 14:48Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.66$236.74
04-14 08:46Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.992$2.0k
04-09 21:35US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.24$376.21