0x0cDA9c78F86391c8658C3346c0c9C0199fF9afef-1779832148788
0x0cda9c78f86391c8658c3346c0c9c0199ff9afef
- Realised P&L
- $-231.99
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $337.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.00at 0.806US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$19.05at 0.840Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
- +$16.86at 0.860Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$13.64at 0.880Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$10.48at 0.920Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 09:41 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.72 | $9.00 |
| 09-13 09:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 09:37 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 09:35 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 18:07 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5159999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 04:58 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8? | BUY | 0.8316831626 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 04:58 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9? | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 19:30 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 10:24 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3725489999 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 10:21 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 10:20 | Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? | BUY | 0.6534653368 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 10:17 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 13:00 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 12:57 | Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? | BUY | 0.8479310055 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 12:53 | US announces military base in Israel in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |