0x0cDA9c78F86391c8658C3346c0c9C0199fF9afef-1779832148788
0x0cda9c78f86391c8658c3346c0c9c0199ff9afef
- Realised P&L
- $-233.20
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $286.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.00at 0.806US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$19.05at 0.840Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
- +$16.86at 0.860Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$13.64at 0.880Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$10.83at 0.480Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:11 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 14:02 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 14:00 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 13:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 11:14 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | BUY | 0.2559306888 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 11:13 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 08:31 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 08:30 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.2159999844 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 11:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.829999956 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 11:35 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 11:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 20:27 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.8879999219 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 20:25 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 20:25 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 20:25 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |