PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x0cDA9c78F86391c8658C3346c0c9C0199fF9afef-1779832148788

0x0cda9c78f86391c8658c3346c0c9c0199ff9afef

Realised P&L
$-233.20
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$286.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.925$101.65+$1.65
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.6790.655$19.30$0.70
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.7900.994$12.58+$2.58
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.6150.739$12.01+$2.01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2250.270$11.98+$1.98
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.8500.995$11.70+$1.70
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2570.298$11.60+$1.60
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5700.635$11.14+$1.14
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.7900.845$10.70+$0.70
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · Yes0.8300.880$10.60+$0.60
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No0.6800.655$9.63$0.37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7800.665$8.53$1.47
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2160.174$8.07$1.93
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · No0.7000.545$7.79$2.21
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.3500.235$6.71$3.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:11Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
08-02 14:02Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?BUY0.699999993$10.00
08-02 14:00Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
08-02 13:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7799999984$10.00
07-27 11:14Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?BUY0.2559306888$10.00
07-27 11:13Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4$10.00
07-24 08:31Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
07-24 08:30Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.2159999844$10.00
07-22 11:42Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.829999956$10.00
07-22 11:35UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?BUY0.6799999946$10.00
07-22 11:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.299999982$10.00
07-21 20:270 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?BUY0.8879999219$10.00
07-21 20:25Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
07-21 20:25Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?BUY0.75$10.00
07-21 20:25Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?BUY0.9199999963$10.00