gamingboy4
0x0cc281d1fdaefc07f6c9e096a3e19ce83a0d8fea
- Realised P&L
- $-403.41
- Volume
- $72.3k
- Markets traded
- 235
- Open portfolio
- $146.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded235
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.62at 0.129Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$113.66at 0.892Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$101.71at 0.937Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$95.28at 0.912Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$73.48at 0.825Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 00:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $10.82 |
| 10-16 00:43 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.982 | $9.82 |
| 10-16 00:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.043 | $18.51 |
| 10-16 00:43 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $47.25 |
| 10-16 00:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $53.35 |
| 10-16 00:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.078 | $128.90 |
| 10-16 00:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $84.72 |
| 10-16 00:40 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5911512779 | $25.67 |
| 10-16 00:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.129173913 | $29.71 |
| 10-16 00:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $29.60 |
| 10-16 00:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $47.34 |
| 10-16 00:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $114.76 |
| 08-24 14:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.103 | $20.60 |
| 08-24 14:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.102 | $35.70 |
| 08-17 03:44 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |