0x0bb1a056d3e9c6be72697db61c93a2308898ebb9
0x0bb1a056d3e9c6be72697db61c93a2308898ebb9
- Realised P&L
- $2.53
- Volume
- $372.29
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $4.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.979 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.700 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.725 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.555 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? · No | 0.760 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.70at 0.230US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$4.61at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:39 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:13 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 09:28 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:05 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:02 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 07:12 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 23:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:01 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:58 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:14 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 09:36 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |