0x0b59ca443a0adefb8e77fdf1852a8b00ba9f390e
0x0b59ca443a0adefb8e77fdf1852a8b00ba9f390e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.52
- Volume
- $163.69
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $11.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.833 | 0.997 | $3.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? · No | 0.530 | 0.335 | $1.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? · No | 0.670 | 0.800 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Yes | 0.770 | 0.905 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.973 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.790 | 0.785 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.775 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.230 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.245 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.011 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.19at 0.465Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$0.99at 0.674Will Exeter Chiefs win?
- +$0.94at 0.684Will Cardiff Rugby win?
- +$0.45at 0.870Will Bulls win?
- +$0.33at 0.753Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:08 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:12 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.829999502 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:11 | Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:33 | Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:46 | Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.89 |
| 09-29 17:41 | Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:41 | Will Czechia vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:41 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 12:55 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 12:54 | Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9279999777 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 07:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:55 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:03 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:01 | Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |