PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Heorys

0x0af427761ba6acc463630b1d99fda944a7d33d53

Realised P&L
$0.15
Volume
$538.94
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$21.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0470.076$4.85+$1.85
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3500.365$2.09+$0.09
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? · No0.9220.912$1.98−$0.02
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.865$1.94−$0.06
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0570.050$1.75−$0.25
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1570.183$1.17+$0.17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.5800.670$1.16+$0.16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.5000.515$1.03+$0.03
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round? · No0.9400.930$0.99−$0.01
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.075$0.94−$0.06
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.1500.140$0.93−$0.07
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? · No0.5800.250$0.86−$1.14
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0260.021$0.83−$0.17
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.3690.245$0.67−$0.33
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? · Yes0.0800.050$0.63−$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 23:04France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9219997437$2.00
10-31 23:04France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?BUY0.08$1.00
10-31 23:03France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
10-31 23:03Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?BUY0.939999812$1.00
10-31 23:02Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-31 23:01Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?BUY0.3689998775$1.00
10-31 23:01Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-31 23:00Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?BUY0.5799999768$2.00
10-31 22:59Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0569999989$2.00
10-31 22:59Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
10-31 22:58US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.5$1.00
10-31 22:58Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1569999939$1.00
10-31 22:57Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0259999996$1.00
10-31 22:57Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8899999555$2.00
10-31 22:57Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0469999994$3.00