PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NickH2695

0x0aa9cac550b05e5bf82ba492196876146cc4c264

Realised P&L
$-110.93
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$40.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · No0.5540.510$12.88$1.11
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · No0.8450.545$10.97$6.03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2600.165$6.35$3.65
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0210.020$4.76$0.24
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$3.77$7.20
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.4000.135$1.69$3.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? · Yes0.2330.000$0.00$10.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.3100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.2800.000$0.00$6.27
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 11? · Down0.8800.000$0.00$1.00
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 6? · Up0.5900.000$0.00$1.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3290.000$0.00$5.00
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31? · No0.2500.000$0.00$3.51
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 06:54Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?BUY0.9$7.00
08-11 06:52Colts vs. PatriotsSELL0.46$5.00
08-11 06:52Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
08-09 04:00Colts vs. PatriotsBUY0.4599999595$5.00
08-09 03:59Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0209999958$5.00
07-25 01:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.2329999872$10.00
07-21 07:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
07-20 07:34Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.29$14.50
07-14 22:32Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$10.00
07-13 23:55Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.4$5.00
07-13 23:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?SELL0.87$20.71
07-13 12:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
07-13 12:00Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.975$33.10
06-13 19:08Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?BUY0.2300922003$5.00
06-13 19:04US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.3099999622$5.00