NickH2695
0x0aa9cac550b05e5bf82ba492196876146cc4c264
- Realised P&L
- $-110.93
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $40.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.38at 0.430Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
- +$10.27at 0.268Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
- +$7.91at 0.670US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$7.15at 0.593Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
- +$5.24at 0.699Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 06:54 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.00 |
| 08-11 06:52 | Colts vs. Patriots | SELL | 0.46 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 06:52 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 04:00 | Colts vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 03:59 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0209999958 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 01:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.2329999872 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 07:22 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 07:34 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 07-14 22:32 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 23:55 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 23:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July? | SELL | 0.87 | $20.71 |
| 07-13 12:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 12:00 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $33.10 |
| 06-13 19:08 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2300922003 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 19:04 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |