0x0a8A256B5bA8E387a32e97E06A6E40318b62D6aE-1781160127568
0x0a8a256b5ba8e387a32e97e06a6e40318b62d6ae
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $233.4k
- Markets traded
- 228
- Open portfolio
- $578.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded228
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$378.19at 0.209OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- +$360.81at 0.200Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
- +$341.88at 0.320Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
- +$335.10at 0.214Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
- +$270.84at 0.260Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:56 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.5504674704 | $108.22 |
| 11-01 21:56 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.5718095626 | $505.26 |
| 11-01 10:52 | Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $469.56 |
| 11-01 08:45 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.5926807855 | $88.43 |
| 11-01 08:43 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $88.50 |
| 11-01 08:43 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $63.63 |
| 11-01 06:23 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.6045454545 | $33.25 |
| 11-01 04:48 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $26.40 |
| 11-01 04:38 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 11-01 04:38 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 11-01 01:56 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 11-01 01:55 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $32.35 |
| 10-31 22:47 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $6.98 |
| 10-31 22:46 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $546.70 |
| 10-31 20:49 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $443.37 |