PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0a8A256B5bA8E387a32e97E06A6E40318b62D6aE-1781160127568

0x0a8a256b5ba8e387a32e97e06a6e40318b62d6ae

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$233.4k
Markets traded
228
Open portfolio
$578.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded228
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? · Yes0.3400.185$142.86−$119.69
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.2170.135$113.28−$68.54
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1900.130$109.47−$50.53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2200.175$105.46−$27.12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.135$48.53−$19.77
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.6500.665$24.22+$0.55
Will Anthropic raise between $115B and $125B in its IPO? · Yes0.1500.025$21.05−$105.26
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes0.2670.095$12.87−$23.35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3560.145$0.78−$1.13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? · No0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 15? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$13.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? · No0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:56Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.5504674704$108.22
11-01 21:56Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5718095626$505.26
11-01 10:52Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.91$469.56
11-01 08:45Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.5926807855$88.43
11-01 08:43Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.59$88.50
11-01 08:43Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.63$63.63
11-01 06:23Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.6045454545$33.25
11-01 04:48Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.66$26.40
11-01 04:38Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.66$19.80
11-01 04:38Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.66$19.80
11-01 01:56Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.66$19.80
11-01 01:55Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.66$32.35
10-31 22:47Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?SELL0.68$6.98
10-31 22:46Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7$546.70
10-31 20:49Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?SELL0.65$443.37