Legend-
0x0a59a7f2a870392a5f555aaa11f49d612e748e5c
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $459.4k
- Markets traded
- 8,173
- Open portfolio
- $226.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded8,173
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.77at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?
- +$263.01at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on May 5?
- +$193.91at 0.027Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?
- +$190.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 10?
- +$184.81at 0.123Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 09-19 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.72 |
| 09-19 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 09-19 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.26 |
| 09-19 02:40 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 09-19 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.56 |
| 09-18 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 09-18 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.40 |
| 09-18 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0034121491 | $0.41 |
| 09-18 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.30 |
| 09-18 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.06 |
| 09-18 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.65 |
| 09-18 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.74 |
| 09-18 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.25 |