PolyBot

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Traders

mtmanychoices

0x0a581a10096d3853d8f749e1c027f4d0e5ce0a16

Realised P&L
$-7.34
Volume
$102.23
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$32.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 17:56Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?BUY0.749999625$1.00
10-03 17:55Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.9749998343$5.00
10-03 17:54Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-03 17:52Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.0469999994$1.00
10-03 17:52Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.96$1.00
10-03 17:51Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-03 17:51Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-03 17:50Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-03 17:49Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.9649994693$1.00
10-03 17:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.74$1.00
10-03 17:48Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
10-03 17:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.9399999624$1.00
10-03 17:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
10-03 17:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-03 12:10Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9099999969$2.90