0x0a1def632073dc067d7bd386170d7b0e9e0db33d
0x0a1def632073dc067d7bd386170d7b0e9e0db33d
- Realised P&L
- $-0.31
- Volume
- $162.17
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $5.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.950 | $2.25 | +$0.76 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.765 | $1.42 | −$0.07 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.250 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.165 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.79at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.73at 0.359Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.50at 0.379Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.39at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$2.11at 0.420Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 21:16 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:09 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8? | BUY | 0.3407350063 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:53 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:51 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:42 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999106 | $1.49 |
| 09-18 15:00 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.49 |
| 09-18 02:39 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 21? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.49 |
| 09-17 18:24 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999883 | $1.49 |
| 09-17 07:27 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.719999884 | $1.49 |
| 09-16 23:14 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.509999935 | $1.49 |
| 09-16 15:10 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2799999774 | $1.49 |
| 09-16 06:43 | Will Warsh say "Scenario" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4599999197 | $1.49 |
| 09-13 22:28 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999305 | $1.49 |