0x09faaac0447fe38aff544a1db4dfc9dcd81427fb
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $266.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.960 | 0.945 | $98.44 | −$1.56 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.982 | 0.981 | $85.67 | −$0.13 |
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.769 | 0.755 | $49.08 | −$0.92 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.351 | $20.49 | +$2.98 |
| Lai Ching-te visits US by June 30? · No | 0.900 | 0.915 | $12.67 | +$0.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.80at 0.347Chiefs vs. Broncos
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:40 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | SELL | 0.999 | $21.66 |
| 11-02 00:31 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.3399999935 | $14.74 |
| 11-02 00:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 09:46 | Lai Ching-te visits US by June 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $12.46 |
| 11-01 09:45 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7690771041 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 09:44 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2998569237 | $35.00 |
| 11-01 09:43 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $98.10 |
| 11-01 09:30 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9819999999 | $184.00 |
| 11-01 09:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |