turpae
0x0964f4b355f935c8974701559bef27c09a7e9269
- Realised P&L
- $391.82
- Volume
- $236.9k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $34.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.00at 0.500Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?
- +$86.64at 0.042Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$60.00at 0.700Will Solana reach $160 in October?
- +$59.38at 0.500Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$56.00at 0.260Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 15:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 10-18 14:39 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.24 |
| 10-18 11:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | SELL | 0.022 | $1.88 |
| 10-18 10:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.51 |
| 10-18 03:10 | Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.17 |
| 10-18 01:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.18 |
| 10-17 23:04 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | SELL | 0.024 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 22:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | SELL | 0.026 | $2.66 |
| 10-17 15:59 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.08 |
| 10-17 15:59 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.11 |
| 10-17 15:58 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.11 |
| 10-17 15:57 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.11 |
| 10-17 15:57 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.11 |
| 10-17 15:56 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.11 |
| 10-17 15:56 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.11 |