PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0880adf68282eF8F7560F01F094f78e2A3A77f02-1776031186543

0x0880adf68282ef8f7560f01f094f78e2a3a77f02

Realised P&L
$-1.00
Volume
$136.92
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$4.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1900.115$0.61−$0.39
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0700.036$0.52−$0.48
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0380.017$0.45−$0.55
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · Yes0.1300.055$0.42−$0.58
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1210.051$0.42−$0.58
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.045$0.37−$0.63
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1800.065$0.36−$0.64
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1200.040$0.33−$0.67
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? · Yes0.3000.095$0.32−$0.68
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2400.075$0.31−$0.69
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes0.0630.019$0.31−$0.69
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2000.050$0.25−$0.75
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2600.060$0.23−$0.77
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$1.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 22:52Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
04-12 22:52Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.037717566$1.00
04-12 22:49Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
04-12 22:44China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.069745365$1.00
04-12 22:43Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
04-12 22:42Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.0629999444$1.00
04-12 22:29Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?BUY0.1209999055$1.00
04-12 22:29Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
04-12 22:29Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2$1.00
04-12 22:28Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
04-12 22:26Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.239999856$1.00
04-12 22:16Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
04-12 22:16Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
04-12 22:14Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?BUY0.048999954$1.00