CahoNiMa
0x085147048445bbfcd5f5cbfca1ce999bd869e119
- Realised P&L
- $-537.19
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $60.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.45at 0.084Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$11.01at 0.156Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.69at 0.605Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score
- +$9.88at 0.410Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?
- +$8.89at 0.259England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:50 | Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on November 1? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 17:50 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on November 1? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.05 |
| 11-01 17:48 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.09 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? | BUY | 0.067 | $0.54 |
| 11-01 13:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | SELL | 0.501 | $15.02 |
| 10-30 19:39 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 19:38 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-30 19:38 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 10-30 19:22 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $15.30 |
| 10-30 19:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 10-30 19:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 10-30 19:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? | SELL | 0.7523333333 | $22.57 |
| 10-30 17:56 | Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.80 |
| 10-30 16:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 1? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 16:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.407 | $2.03 |