PolyBot

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Traders

njguy227

0x084fb86d0aa0bac84943405c4700ae9880b9bbb8

Realised P&L
$5.86
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
560
Open portfolio
$134.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded560
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4100.405$24.89−$0.31
Will New Jersey Devils advance to the Eastern Conference Finals of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? · Yes0.1500.350$23.33+$13.33
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0800.095$11.88+$1.88
Will New Jersey Devils be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes0.0560.056$11.43−$0.16
Will New Jersey Devils advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? · Yes0.2700.265$11.00−$0.21
Will the New Jersey Devils make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? · Yes0.5400.535$10.96−$0.10
Will the New Jersey Devils record 80+ points? · Yes0.9100.770$9.31−$1.69
Will the New Jersey Devils record 90+ points? · Yes0.7100.625$8.80−$1.20
Will the New Jersey Devils be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0220.026$5.36+$0.81
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.9761.000$5.12+$0.12
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3800.365$4.80−$0.20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5700.375$3.82−$1.98
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.295$2.95−$0.75
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.004$0.70−$0.30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4400.125$0.28−$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 16:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.37$3.70
10-04 16:43Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4099999775$4.20
10-04 16:42Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.08$10.00
09-29 21:44Will New Jersey Devils advance to the Eastern Conference Finals of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
09-29 21:42Will New Jersey Devils advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?BUY0.2699999969$11.21
09-29 21:42Will New Jersey Devils be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?BUY0.0562648672$11.59
09-29 21:41Will the New Jersey Devils record 80+ points?BUY0.9099999992$11.00
09-29 21:41Will the New Jersey Devils record 90+ points?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
09-29 21:40Will the New Jersey Devils make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?BUY0.5399999863$11.06
09-29 21:39Will the New Jersey Devils be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.0220611176$4.55
09-29 21:35Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3799999924$5.00
09-29 21:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-29 21:35Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$1.00
07-07 12:44Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.9759999969$5.00
07-07 12:372026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5699999912$5.80