njguy227
0x084fb86d0aa0bac84943405c4700ae9880b9bbb8
- Realised P&L
- $5.86
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 560
- Open portfolio
- $134.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded560
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.33at 0.282Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
- +$10.40at 0.480US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$7.10at 0.240Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
- +$4.10at 0.590Devils vs. Canadiens
- +$3.53at 0.498Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 16:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-04 16:43 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999775 | $4.20 |
| 10-04 16:42 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 21:44 | Will New Jersey Devils advance to the Eastern Conference Finals of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 21:42 | Will New Jersey Devils advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? | BUY | 0.2699999969 | $11.21 |
| 09-29 21:42 | Will New Jersey Devils be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.0562648672 | $11.59 |
| 09-29 21:41 | Will the New Jersey Devils record 80+ points? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $11.00 |
| 09-29 21:41 | Will the New Jersey Devils record 90+ points? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 21:40 | Will the New Jersey Devils make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.5399999863 | $11.06 |
| 09-29 21:39 | Will the New Jersey Devils be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.0220611176 | $4.55 |
| 09-29 21:35 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 21:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 21:35 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 12:44 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9759999969 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 12:37 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5699999912 | $5.80 |