PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x078fcfa372430a92252f4e7685b9a0b419e547e4

Realised P&L
$-2.33
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$3.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.855$1.17+$0.17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7260.839$1.15+$0.15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2760.162$0.59$0.41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0950.025$0.27$0.73
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.4300.085$0.20$0.80
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.018$0.17$0.83
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0660.005$0.08$0.92
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6800.050$0.07$0.93
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$0.99
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$1.00
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · No0.1500.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$1.00
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$2.00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 21:19Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.502$2.62
05-10 17:35Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
05-10 17:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?BUY0.001$1.00
05-10 17:17Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.005$1.00
05-10 17:16Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?SELL0.86$2.77
05-10 17:13Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.6$1.00
05-10 17:10Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
05-10 17:10Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
05-08 15:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?BUY0.4599999141$1.50
05-08 13:59Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
05-08 13:58Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.033999968$1.00
05-08 13:58Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0949999211$1.00
05-08 13:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?BUY0.001$1.00
05-08 13:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?BUY0.001$1.00
05-08 13:56Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.3759998316$1.00