0x078fcfa372430a92252f4e7685b9a0b419e547e4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.33
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $3.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.93at 0.031MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.84at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.316Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
- +$1.70at 0.477Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?
- +$0.44at 0.388Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 21:19 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.502 | $2.62 |
| 05-10 17:35 | Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 17:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 17:17 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 17:16 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.77 |
| 05-10 17:13 | Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 17:10 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 17:10 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 15:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.4599999141 | $1.50 |
| 05-08 13:59 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 13:58 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.033999968 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 13:58 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0949999211 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 13:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 13:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 13:56 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3759998316 | $1.00 |