0xFa2a7C0a20365B0f833404a2F36c75c6E2dC4E1D-1768253026359
0x06ee5da33586d408416e941e0db0ae91d8fca051
- Realised P&L
- $-5.57
- Volume
- $24.5k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $220.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.350 | $116.67 | +$16.67 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.195 | $37.50 | −$62.50 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.035 | $18.65 | −$1.35 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.260 | $16.96 | −$13.04 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.019 | $15.60 | −$4.40 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.075 | $9.38 | −$20.63 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.036 | $6.00 | −$14.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.57at 0.034Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 18:06 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 10-03 18:06 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4599999951 | $30.00 |
| 10-03 18:03 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 18:02 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 18:02 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.037 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 13:53 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 13:53 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 09:59 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0344995154 | $384.00 |