PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0x065dd704409d11f5679f00f38e02f19f4418a672

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$103.4k
Markets traded
781
Open portfolio
$176.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded781
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.982$49.08+$35.58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.2200.315$28.63+$8.64
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.360$23.03+$4.48
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? · Yes0.3100.345$12.82+$1.30
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1630.221$11.05+$2.90
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0000.111$9.27+$9.27
Will Newcastle United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.2200.150$8.71−$4.07
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.729$6.56+$5.57
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.2300.140$6.30−$4.05
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? · Yes0.3150.743$3.86+$2.22
Will SC Freiburg qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.1200.245$2.78+$1.42
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.2200.135$2.70−$1.70
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in September? · Yes0.2300.055$2.20−$7.00
Will Dante Moore be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · Yes0.1050.100$1.99−$0.11
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.1140.030$1.89−$5.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 00:31Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?SELL0.127$6.35
09-06 00:31No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.24$24.00
09-06 00:30Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.37$37.00
08-30 02:03Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?SELL0.33$9.53
08-28 14:27Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of August 24 2026?SELL0.01$0.08
08-28 14:26Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026?SELL0.07$2.65
08-28 14:25Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?SELL0.04$1.64
08-28 14:24Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 28?SELL0.73$7.10
08-28 14:23Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA?SELL0.1$2.00
08-28 02:27Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of August 24 2026?SELL0.36$7.20
08-28 00:46Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?SELL0.94$47.00
08-27 05:43Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?SELL0.21$18.93
08-26 08:19Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $82 Week of August 24 2026?SELL0.05$2.55
08-26 00:02Will "Idiots" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.09$0.41
08-25 14:09Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on August 25?BUY0.06$1.20