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0x065dd704409d11f5679f00f38e02f19f4418a672
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $103.4k
- Markets traded
- 781
- Open portfolio
- $176.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded781
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.46at 0.075Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$41.44at 0.181Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
- +$19.00at 0.120Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
- +$18.57at 0.297Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$17.19at 0.120Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 00:31 | Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.127 | $6.35 |
| 09-06 00:31 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 09-06 00:30 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 08-30 02:03 | Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August? | SELL | 0.33 | $9.53 |
| 08-28 14:27 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of August 24 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 08-28 14:26 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.65 |
| 08-28 14:25 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.64 |
| 08-28 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 28? | SELL | 0.73 | $7.10 |
| 08-28 14:23 | Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 02:27 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of August 24 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 08-28 00:46 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 08-27 05:43 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28? | SELL | 0.21 | $18.93 |
| 08-26 08:19 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $82 Week of August 24 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.55 |
| 08-26 00:02 | Will "Idiots" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.41 |
| 08-25 14:09 | Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on August 25? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |